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FINM7403 Portfolio Management

Business School, The University of Queensland

Team Assignment Task Document

Title: Valuation of Stocks in High-Emission Industries

Semester Two

July- November 2024

Assignment Submission Due: 14 October 2024 at 17:00 Brisbane Time

This assignment has a total mark of 20 marks. It contributes 20% to your final grade.

Each student must separately complete and submit the accompanying peer evaluation form by

18 October 2024, 17:00. Peer evaluation contributes 5% to your final grade.

2

This assignment is to be completed and submitted as a team. Students are required to

complete tasks in Parts A and B of this task sheet. A guide for student teams follows the

assignment tasks, a grading rubric is presented at the end of this document. [8 pages in total]

Part A. As an equity security analyst, your current task is to estimate the fair value of an

Australian stock in operation as of July 2024.

• Stock selection criteria: 1. The stock must be a constituent of the ASX200 index; 2. the firm should operate in high carbon emission industries, such as companies of fossil fuel, mining, steel, aluminium, cement, fertilizer manufacturing, or in the transportation sector. [Note: You can select one stock that meets the criteria, except for Qantas and BHP.] • Approach: You have decided to use a Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF) model and a Multiples-based approach, and then assign a different weight for each model result to determine the stock’s intrinsic value. • Source of data: Capital IQ and additional resources, including company disclosures from the company’s website, news and academic journal articles. For the FCFF approach, you agree with the annual consensus forecasts (e.g., earnings, free

cash flows) for the chosen stock over the next three (or four) fiscal years in Capital IQ.

Beyond this time, you will derive estimates of long-term growth rates. Use the Capital

Asset Pricing Model to estimate the equity cost of capital. Assume a risk-free rate of

4.38% and a market risk premium of 5.99%.

For the Multiples-based approach, you will select a multiple for your stock and its

comparable stocks (at least two) and justify your choices of multiples as well as

comparable.

Requirement: In your written report to the fund manager, you are expected to incorporate the

following:

1. Describe the valuation process for each method so one can replicate the analysis. 2. Justify your primary considerations for valuation. 3. Report your valuation results and provide an investment recommendation (buy, sell, or hold) based on the results from two different valuation methods. 3

Part B. Several days after handing in the report in Part A, your fund manager requests a

revision of the FCFF stock valuation to account for his predicted early introduction of a

carbon tax on Scope 1 emissions (priced per ton of greenhouse gas). The revision should

address the following key considerations for your FCFF valuation: a. projections of sales

revenue and operating costs, b. capital expenditures (including Research and development

expenses), c. taxation, and d. cost of capital.

Requirements: Based on the firm’s environmental performance disclosures, write a response

to evaluate the above aspects and potential directional impacts on your stock valuation

recommendation. Support your analysis with evidence including company disclosures and

relevant credible references.

------------------------------- End of Assignment Task Sheet ---------------------------------

Guide for students

A. Researching and writing your assignment:

• Capital IQ access: I requested Capital IQ to create accounts for all student enrolled in the course in early July. If you are in the list you should have access to https://www.capitaliq.com/ciqdotnet/Login-okta.aspx starting 21 July 2024. Please check your UQ email (including your junk folder) for the access details. Students who enrolled after early July could register using their UQ email address (e.g., [email protected], replacing ‘1234567’ with your student ID) to create their accounts. Avoid postponing this task to the last minute, as account registration approvals for online access may require a day or two. • The process of forming a team consists of two phases. First, students can self-enrol in a team by registering online through Blackboard (Assessment Assessment Task 2: Team assignment-> Team Assignment sign up sheet) between 29 July and 5 Aug. Student who do not self-register will be allocated to random teams by their instructors before 10 Aug. It is recommended that each team consists of three or four students. If you have form a team of four, please email me as that I can allocate you to the same team. Please note that a fourth member can join a team consisting of three members. If 4

you wish to withdraw from a team after joining, please email Elizabeth for assistance,

as Blackboard does not allow students withdraw on their own.

• Write and cite: 2,500 words for Parts A and B combined. The word count excludes footnotes, tables, figures, references, and appendices. The main body of your report should be typed in Times New Roman font, size 12, and 1.5 lines spaced. Type the course code and your assignment team number on each page of your submission file using the Header. Insert the page number in the Footer. Read the information contained in this link. Write, cite, and submit - Library - University of Queensland (uq.edu.au). APA, Chicago, or Harvard referencing style is acceptable. • Appendix: Include your main tables within the main body of the report. If you wish to attach Excel files to show your work, please copy and paste them into the WORD document’s Appendix. • Formatting: Include a title page in your submission file. Your Team assignment title page must indicate the assignment name (e.g., FINM7403 Team Assignment), your team name, student ID numbers and names of each team member, and their individual contribution to the assignment. • AI policy: In Part A of the assignment, the use of AI tools is prohibited. In Part B, while AI tools may be used to aid in understanding the relevant concepts but must not be used to write the report. If AI is used in the assignment, you must reference all the content from Generative AI tools. Failure to reference externally sourced, non-original work can result in Academic misconduct. Machine translation tools are prohibited. Students are encouraged to review and revise their work with their team members. B. Submit for grading & similarity checks:

• Ensure that the entire document, Appendix included, is successfully converted into a single PDF file before submission. • SAVE YOUR TITLE PAGE, PARTS A AND B (with Appendices if any) AS ONE PDF FILE before clicking on the relevant link to upload your assignment to the portal of “Assessment  Assessment task 2: Team Assignment  FINM7403 Team Assignment Submission for Grading” on Blackboard. If you are not familiar with the submission process, please visit this link before submission. 5

• While the assignment can be submitted for grading by any team member and multiple times, only the submission made closest to and before the due date will be graded. • Each team must elect one team leader responsible for submitting the assignment to TurnitIn. Multiple submissions are allowed, but they must be made by the same person (team leader). Note that TurnitIn also provides AI similarity scores visible only to teaching staff. • Other instructions: Teaching staff will not answer any questions regarding the assignment, as this gives students an unfair advantage over others. However, you may post any questions to the ‘Discussion Board’ on Blackboard; such questions will be answered if appropriate. C. Peer evaluation:

• There are two peer evaluation forms for each student to complete. One is for practice that needs to be completed up to one week before the assignment submission. This form is for practice only and doesn’t account for students’ final grades. The second evaluation form to be completed between 9:00 on 14 Oct and 17:00 on 18 Oct 2024 contributes to 5% of your final grade. 6

Grading Rubrics for FINM7403 Assignment in Semester Two, Jul- Nov 2024

Parts A & B (100%),

20 marks towards the

final grade

Outstanding Good Fair Needs to improve Poor or missing

Part 1: Equity Valuation (55%)

The FCFF method

(30%): Have you

thoroughly described

the valuation process

for the FCFF method?

Your work

demonstrates an

outstanding

understanding of

the FCFF

valuation process.

Additionally, you

have provided an

excellent

justification for

the main

consideration for

the FCFF method.

Your work

demonstrates a

good

understanding of

the FCFF

valuation process.

Additionally, you

have provided

well-justified

main

considerations for

the FCFF method.

Your work

demonstrates a

fair understanding

of the FCFF

valuation process.

Additionally, you

have provided a

fair justification

for the main

considerations for

the FCFF method.

Your work

demonstrates a

basic understanding

of the FCFF

valuation process.

Additionally, you

have provided a

basic justification

for the main

considerations for

the FCFF method.

Your work

demonstrates little to

no understanding of

the FCFF valuation

process.

Additionally, you

have provided little

to no justification for

the main

considerations for the

FCFF method.

The Multiples method

(15%): Have you

detailed the multiples

valuation process?

Your work

demonstrates an

outstanding

understanding of

the multiples

valuation process.

Additionally, you

have provided an

excellent

justification for

the main

consideration for

Your work

demonstrates a

good

understanding of

the multiples

valuation process.

Additionally, you

have provided

well-justified

main

considerations for

the multiples

method.

Your work

demonstrates a

fair understanding

of the multiples

valuation process.

Additionally, you

have provided a

fair justification

of the main

considerations for

the multiples

method.

Your work

demonstrates a

basic understanding

of the multiples

valuation process.

Additionally, you

have provided a

basic justification

of the main

considerations for

the multiples

method.

Your work

demonstrates little to

no understanding of

the multiples

valuation process.

Additionally, you

have provided little

to no justification for

the main

considerations for the

multiples method.

7

the multiples

method.

Recommendation

(10%): Have you

considered the

assumptions and

limitations of the two

valuation methods in

making the stock buy or

sell recommendation?

Your

recommendation

demonstrates an

outstanding

understanding of

the assumptions

and limitations of

the two valuation

methods.

Your

recommendation

demonstrates a

good

understanding of

the assumptions

and limitations of

the two valuation

methods.

Your

recommendation

demonstrates a

fair understanding

of the

assumptions and

limitations of the

two valuation

methods.

Your

recommendation

demonstrates a

basic understanding

of the assumptions

and limitations of

the two valuation

methods.

Your

recommendation

demonstrates little to

no understanding of

the assumptions and

limitations of the two

valuation methods.

Part B: Responses to the impact of the predicted early introduction of carbon tax on stock valuation (35%)

Critical evaluation

(35%): Have you

critically evaluated

changes to the key

inputs in the FCFF

model that are likely to

be affected by the

carbon tax? Have you

discussed the extent to

which this tax could

induce a directional

change in your previous

recommendation?

Evaluation of the

carbon tax’s

impact on the

stock’s intrinsic

value is completed

with exceptional

detail. The

analysis is

underpinned by

comprehensive

evidence,

reflecting a highly

developed

capacity to

research and

analyze real-world

problems.

Evaluation of the

carbon tax’s

impact on the

stock’s intrinsic

value is

completed with

good detail. The

analysis is

underpinned by

convincing

evidence,

reflecting a well- developed

capacity to

research and

analyze real- world problems.

Evaluation of the

carbon tax’s

impact on the

stock’s intrinsic

value is

completed to a

fair level. The

analysis is

supported by

some evidence,

reflecting a

developed

capacity to

research and

analyze real- world problems.

Evaluation of the

carbon tax’s impact

on the stock’s

intrinsic value is

completed to a

basic level. The

analysis lacks

evidence to support

their arguments,

reflecting a

developing capacity

to research and

analyze real-world

problems.

Evaluation of the

carbon tax’s impact

on the stock’s

intrinsic value is

completed to a very

low level of detail.

The analysis and

discussion are

superficial, reflecting

a very limited

capacity to research

and analyze real- world problems.

8

Parts A & B: Writing communications (10%)

Language (5%):

Clarity of Style,

Knowledge of

Appropriate

Terminology

Writing

demonstrates a

clear, varied,

precise and

concise use of

language and a

sophisticated

command of the

vocabulary and

expression

appropriate to the

analysis. Highly

effective choice of

register.

Writing

demonstrates a

clear and concise

use of language

and a well- developed

knowledge of the

vocabulary and

expression

appropriate to the

analysis. Effective

choice of register.

Writing

demonstrates a

clear use of

language and a

fair knowledge of

the vocabulary

and expression

appropriate to the

analysis. A

suitable choice of

register.

Writing

demonstrates the

mostly clear use of

language.

Vocabulary and

expression are

suitable for the

analysis. The

register is generally

appropriate for

research analysis.

Writing demonstrates

unclear use of

language.

Vocabulary and

register are rarely

appropriate to the

analysis.

Mechanics (5%):

Paragraphing, Spelling,

Punctuation,

Referencing

Writing is

sophisticated, clear

and succinct, with

no lapses in

grammar, spelling

and sentence

construction.

Paragraphing

demonstrates a

refined

understanding of

argumentative

techniques.

Writing is fluent,

clear and

succinct, with no

lapses in

grammar, spelling

and sentence

construction.

Paragraphing

demonstrates a

well-developed

understanding of

argumentative

techniques.

Writing is fluent

and clear, with no

significant lapses

in grammar,

spelling and

sentence

construction.

Paragraphing

demonstrates a

good

understanding of

argumentative

techniques.

Writing is clear and

readable, with some

lapses in grammar,

spelling and

sentence

construction.

Paragraphing

demonstrates a fair

understanding of

argumentative

techniques.

Writing is not readily

comprehensible, with

significant lapses in

grammar, spelling

and sentence

construction.

Paragraphing is not

used to structure an

argument.

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