ECOS3005 Practice exam solutions 1. Two firms produce an identical product in a linear city of length 1 unit. Consumers are uniformly located along the city. Suppose that consumer i’s utility derived from buying firm j’s product is given by ui j = 20− t(xi− y j)2− p j, where j = 1,2 indicate the two firms, t is the per unit cost of travelling along the city, xi is the location of consumer i, y j is the location of firm j, and p j is the price of product j. Assume that the two firms are located at each end of the city. That is y1 = 0 and y2 = 1. Each firm has constant marginal costs of c per unit and no fixed costs. (a) Suppose the firms compete by simultaneously choosing prices in a single period. i. Find the demand for each firm’s product in terms of the market prices set by each firm. [3 marks] ANS: To find the demand for each firm, we need to find the fraction of consumers buying from each firm. So, we need to work out the location of the consumer who is indifferent between each firm’s product. Call the location of this consumer x. It must therefore be that 20− tx2− p1 = 20− t(x−1)2− p2 p1 + tx2 = t(x−1)2 + p2 t(x2− (x−1)2) = p2− p1 2tx = p2− p1 + t x = p2− p1 + t 2t Hence, the demand for each firm is given by q1 = x = p2− p1 + t 2t q2 = 1− x = p1− p2 + t2t Hence the quantity demanded for each firm decreases with its own price and increases with its rival’s price. ii. Find the reaction function for each firm. [3 marks] ANS: To find the market prices for each firm, we need to first work out firm profits, then solve for the profit maximising problem for each firm. This will give us reaction functions for each firm, which we can solve to find the equilibrium market prices. First, profits for Firm 1 are given by pi1 = q1(p1− c) = (p1− c) p2− p1 + t2t The first order conditions for firm 1’s profit maximising problem are then p2− p1 + t 2t − p1− c 2t = 0 p2−2p1 + t+ c = 0 p1 = p2 + t+ c 2 Page 1 of 9 ECOS3005 Practice exam solutions This is Firm 1’s reaction function. Similarly, solving for Firm 2’s reaction function we obtain p2 = p1 + t+ c 2 iii. Find the Nash equilibrium price and profit for each firm. [3 marks] ANS: Solving these two reaction functions together, p1 = t+ c 2 + p1 + t+ c 4 3 4 p1 = 3t+3c 4 p1 = t+ c p2 = t+ c Hence, the market price of each firm is positively related to both marginal costs, and transport costs. Notice that both firms have the same equilibrium market price. Substi- tuting into the demand functions, we obtain q1 = q2 = 1/2. Profits are then given by pii = qi(pi− c) = t2 , i= 1,2 (b) Suppose the firms play an infinitely repeated game. Each period the firms simultaneously choose prices. We want to examine whether a cartel is sustainable. Consider the following grim-trigger strategies: p= { pC if it is the first period or both firms set p= pC in every prior period pN otherwise where pN is the Nash equilibrium price you obtained in part 1(a)iii and pC = 3t+c is the cartel price. Under these strategies, both firms set the cartel price unless one of them deviated from this in a previous period. If either firm deviates, both firms punish for the rest of the game by setting p = pN . Firms discount the future using the discount factor δ, where 0 < δ < 1. For what values of δ is the cartel sustainable using the above grim-trigger strategies? Explain. [6 marks] ANS: We want to find out if the grim-trigger strategies form a subgame perfect Nash equi- librium (SPNE). We therefore need to establish that there is no incentive to deviate from this strategy if your rival is playing this strategy. First, note that if there is ever a deviation, the grim-trigger strategy calls on players to set the price PN which we identified as the Nash equilibrium price to the one-period game. Therefore, there is no incentive to deviate (again) once punishment begins. Next, we need to check whether there is an incentive to deviate at the start of the game (or if no players have deviated yet). To do this, we compare the payoffs to cooperating with the payoffs to deviation. Suppose Firm 2 plays the grim-trigger strategy and consider Firm 1’s incentives. If Firm 1 cooperates, she receives payoffs: VC = piC 1−δ , Page 2 of 9 ECOS3005 Practice exam solutions where piC are the profits if both firms cooperate by setting p= pC. If she deviates, she receives payoffs: VD = piD+δ piN 1−δ , where piD are the profits she obtains by choosing an optimal deviation and piN = t/2 are the non-cooperative profits we identified earlier. So, collusion is sustainable if VD = piC 1−δ ≥V D = piD+δ piN 1−δ piC ≥ (1−δ)piD+δpiN δ(piD−piN)≥ piD−piC δ≥ pi D−piC piD−piN Next, note that if both firms set pC, then q1 = q2 = 1/2 and piC = q(p− c) = 1 2 3t = 3t 2 . If firm 1 deviates, the optimal price to set is given by their reaction function. So, p1 = (t+ c)/2+ p2/2 = (t+ c)/2+(3t+ c)/2 = 2t+ c. Demand for Firm 1 is then q1 = (p2− p1 + t)/2t = 2t/2t = 1. Hence, piD = q1(p1− c) = 1×2t = 2t. Hence, the grim-trigger strategies form an SPNE and collusion is sustainable if δ≥ pi D−piC piD−piN = 2t−3t/2 2t− t/2 = 1 3 . If the firms are sufficiently patient, they will be able to resist the temptation to earn higher short-term profits because of the prospect of collusive profits in the future. 2. Two firms engage in quantity competition in a single period. They play a three stage game. In stage 1, the Leader chooses an output, q1. In stage 2, the Follower decides whether to enter. In stage 3, if the follower entered, it chooses an output, q2. Market demand is given by P= 70−0.5Q, where Q= q1 +q2 is market output, and P is the market price. Each firm has the cost function C(q) = 10q+400. Page 3 of 9 ECOS3005 Practice exam solutions (a) Assume that the Follower decides to enter. i. Solve for the reaction function of the follower. [3 marks] ANS: The Follower chooses output to maximise profits pi2 = q2(70−0.5(q1 +q2))−10q2−400. This leads to FOCs: 70−0.5q1−q2−10 = 0 q2 = 60−0.5q2. This is the reaction function for Firm 2. ii. Solve for the Stackelberg solution to the game. Show that the Leader chooses an output of 60. What are the profits of each firm? [4 marks] ANS: The leader earns profits of pi1 = q1(70−0.5q1−0.5q2)−10q1−400 = q1(70−0.5q1−30+0.25q1)−10q1−400 = q1(30−0.25q1)−400. Maximising profits by choosing p1 leads to FOCs: 30−0.5q1 = 0 q1 = 60. The leader chooses an output of 60. Substituting into the follower’s reaction function, we obtain q2 = 30. The market price is then P= 70−0.5Q= 25. Profits are given by pi1 = q1P−10q1−400 = 60.25−60.10−400 = 500 pi2 = 30.25−30.10−400 = 50. (b) Is the Stackelberg solution also a subgame perfect Nash equilibrium to the full game? Explain. [Hint: Does the leader have an incentive to increase output to, say, 64?] [4 marks] ANS: To check whether the Stackelberg solution above is a subgame perfect NE, we need to check whether either firm has an incentive to deviate in any of the subgames. In particular, does the leader have an incentive to deter entry by producing a larger output? Deterring entry involves ensuring that pi2 ≤ 0. Letting F = 400 be the fixed cost, pi2 = q2(70−0.5(q1 +q2))−10q2−F = (60−0.5q1)(60−0.5q1−0.5(60−0.5q1))−F = 0.5(60−0.5q1)2−F. Page 4 of 9 ECOS3005 Practice exam solutions Setting pi2 = 0, we have (60−0.5q1)2 = 2F 60−0.5q1 = √ 2F q∗1 = 120−2 √ 2F ≈ 63.43. Any q1 > q∗1 will be sufficient to deter entry. For example, suppose q1 = 64. Would this be a profitable deviation for Firm 1? pi1 = q1(70−0.5q1)−10q1−F = 64(60−32)−400 = 1392. This gives Firm 1 a higher profit than the Stackelberg solution. Hence, Firm 1 has an incentive to deter entry by setting q1 > q∗1. The Stackelberg solution cannot therefore constitute a subgame perfect NE. (c) Suppose stages 1 and 2 were reversed (that is, the Follower’s entry decision takes place before the Leader’s output decision). How would this change your analysis of the game. Explain briefly. [4 marks] ANS: If the Follower is able to commit to entry before the Leader chooses output, this will have a major impact on the game. We know from above that the Stackelberg solution involves positive economic profits for both Leader and Follower. Consider then the following strate- gies. The Follower enters in stage 1; the Leader chooses the Stackelberg output in stage 2 if the Follower enters (and chooses the monopoly output otherwise); the Follower adopts its reaction function from above in Stage 3. With these strategies, neither player has an incentive to deviate. The Follower’s reaction function was derived as a best response to the output of the Leader; the Leader cannot deter entry, so the Stackelberg output is a profit-maximising output; and the Follower has an incentive to enter in Stage 1 because it earns positive profits. In this case, the Follower’s ability to commit to entry before the leader chooses output is very important. This removes the possibility of entry deterrence for the Leader and ensures the Stackelberg outcome results. 3. Firm 1 is a monopoly manufacturer of Bam. Bam is a homogeneous product with market demand given by Q(p) = 110−P, where P is the final retail price. Production of Bam involves constant marginal costs of 20 and no fixed costs. Distribution of Bam incurs a constant marginal cost of 10 and no fixed costs. The following two stage game is played once. In stage 1, Firm 1 chooses a price PU to sell its product to distributors. In stage 2, distributors choose a retail price to charge to customers. (a) Suppose that Firm 2 is the sole distributor of Bam. i. Find the reaction function for Firm 2 in terms of the upstream price PU . [3 marks] ANS: Firm 2 has profits of piD = Q(PD)(PD−PU −10) = (110−PD)(PD−PU −10) Page 5 of 9 ECOS3005 Practice exam solutions Maximising profits leads to the first order conditions: −PU +PU +10+110−PD = 0 2PD = 120+PU PD = 60+ PU 2 This is Firm 2’s reaction function. ii. Solve for the subgame perfect Nash equilibrium to the game. What are the upstream and downstream prices? How many units of Bam are sold? [3 marks] ANS: We solve by backward induction. In stage 2, Firm 2 adopts the above reaction function. In stage 1, Firm 1 maximises profits, taking Firm 2’s reaction function into account. Firm 1 profits are piU = Q(PD(PU))(PU −20) = (110−60− P U 2 )(PU −20) = (50− P U 2 )(Pu−20) Maximising profits leads to the first order conditions: 50− P U 2 − 1 2 (PU −20) = 0 PU = 60 Substituting into Firm 2’s reaction function, PD = 60+ PU 2 = 90. So, in the SPNE, Firm 1 sets a price of PU = 60 and Firm 2 uses the above reaction function, leading to a downstream price of PD = 90 in equilibrium. Output is given by Q= 110−PD = 20. iii. Firm 1 is considering the idea of taking over Firm 2. How much would Firm 1 be willing to pay for Firm 2? Explain. [3 marks] ANS: Firm 1 currently earns profits of piU = Q(PU −20) = 20×40 = 800. Suppose the firms were to integrate. Then the integrated firm would maximise profits given by piI = (110−P)(P−30) This leads to first order conditions 110−P−P+30 = 0 P= 70 The integrated firm would set a price of 70 and earn profits of piI = 40× 40 = 1600. Hence, Firm 1 would be willing to pay up to piI−piU = 1600−800 = 800 for Firm 2. Page 6 of 9 ECOS3005 Practice exam solutions iv. Would Firm 2 be willing to accept a take-over by Firm 1? Explain. [2 marks] ANS: Firm 2 would have to be compensated for current profits of piD = Q(PD−PU −10) = 20(90−60−10) = 400. Therefore, Firm 2 should be happy to accept any offer of at least 400. (b) Suppose that Firms 2 and 3 are both distributors of Bam. In stage 2, they compete for final customers by simultaneously choosing prices. [Assume that Firm 1 must charge the same price PU to both firms.] Find the subgame perfect Nash equilibrium to the game. What price does each firm charge? Explain. [4 marks] ANS: Because Bam is a homogeneous product, Firms 2 and 3 engage in Bertrand competition. The only Nash equilibrium to this subgame involves both firms setting price equal to their marginal cost. Thus, P2 = P3 = PU + 10. We could think of this as the reaction function of Firm 2 and Firm 3. Firm 1 then maximises profits: pi1 = (110−PD)(PU −20) = (100−PU)(PU −20) Solving first order conditions yields 100−PU −PU +20 = 0 PU = 60. Hence, the SPNE involves Firm 1 setting a price of 60 and Firms 2 and 3 following the above reaction function. In equilibrium Firms 2 and 3 will set a price of 70. Intuitively, because Firm 2 and Firm 3 behave competitively in stage 2, there is no double marginalisation problem and we have the same outcome as the integrated monopoly problem. 4. Good A is a homogeneous product. Entry into the market for Good A is free. Each producer of Good A has an identical U-shaped average cost curve given by C(q) = q 2 4 + 5q+ 25. L = 1000 consumers are interested in buying Good A. Each consumer is willing to buy up to one unit of Good A for a price up to pu = 12. A fraction α of consumers have perfect information about prices, where 0 ≤ α ≤ 1. The remaining consumers know the distribution of prices, but do not know the price set by any individual store. These uninformed consumers arrive at one store at random and learn the price of that store. If they wish to go to another store, they incur a search cost of c = 3 to find the store and learn its price. Let pc be the price that would prevail in the market for Good A in the long run if it were a perfectly competitive market (that is, if all consumers were perfectly informed about prices). (a) Find the competitive price pc. [3 marks] ANS: In the long run competitive equilibrium, all firms set a price equal to marginal cost. Free entry ensures that firms earn zero economic profits in the long run. Therefore, we must Page 7 of 9 ECOS3005 Practice exam solutions have marginal cost equal to average cost in equilitbium. Therefore, MC = 5+ q 2 = AC = 5+ q 4 + 25 q q 4 = 25 q q2 = 100 q= 10 Each firm produces an output of 10. At this quantity, marginal costs are given by 5+1/2= 10. Therefore, pc = 10. (b) Suppose that α= 0. That is, all consumers have imperfect information about prices. i. Is there a Nash equilibrium in which all firms set price p= pc? Explain. [3 marks] ANS: No. If each store were to set a price equal to p = pc, firms have an incentive to raise price to pu. At this price, consumers have no incentive to visit another store (notice that pc+ c > pu). Thus, the firm would not lose any sales while maximising its profit margin. ii. Is there a Nash equilibrium in which all firms set a price p= pu? Explain. [3 marks] ANS: Yes. Suppose that each store set price p= pu, and examine the incentives of one of those stores. There is no incentive to undercut by a small amount (less than c), because this does not encourage consumers to search. Firms may be able to encourage consumers to search only if p < pu− c. However, pu− c < pc and hence firms would make a loss trying to attract customers. (c) Suppose that α= 0.1. i. Is there a Nash equilibrium in which all firms set price p= pu? Explain. [2 marks] ANS: No. If all firms set a price of pu, there would be an incentive to undercut slightly to attract all of the perfectly informed consumers. ii. Is there a long run equilibrium in which all firms set a price p= pc? Explain. [4 marks] ANS: Recall from part 4a that pc = 10. At this price, firms are setting price equal to marginal cost and earning zero economic profits. Each firm produces an output of q= 10. Let us consider the incentive to deviate. First, note that it is not worth undercutting this price. This will lead to losses. If a firm sets a price above pc, they will lose all of the informed customers, but will keep their share of the uninformed customers as long as they do not have an incentive to search. Notice that pc + c > pu and the uninformed consumers would not have an incentive to search if they arrived at a store charging pu. We just have to check whether it is profitable to deviate to pu. It will be profitable if pu > AC(qu), where qu is the output of a firm setting price pu. If all other firms set a Page 8 of 9 ECOS3005 Practice exam solutions price of pc and produce q = 10 units, then there will be n = 100 firms. The deviating firm would obtain an output of qu = 1000(1−α) n = 10(1−α) = 9. Average costs are then AC(qu) = 5+ q 4 + 25 9 = 5+ 9 4 + 25 9 = 5+ 81+100 36 = 10+ 1 36 < 12. Therefore, it is profitable to deviate to a price of pu and there can be no long run equilib- rium in which all firms set a price of pc. END OF EXAMINATION Page 9 of 9
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