辅导案例-FIT5057 -Assignment 3
FIT5057 REFLECTIVE REPORT V2.0 S1 2020 FIT5057 – Final Assignment 3 This assignment prepares you for adopting a reflective approach in practicing project management in your future employment and university projects. You will learn about reflective thinking through this final assignment. Page 1 FIT5057 Reflective Report F I T 5 0 5 7 – F I N A L A S S I G N M E N T 3 LEARNING OUTCOMES Value Adding Fulfilment of Unit Learning Outcomes This assignment helps you to understand the value of reflective thinking in project management. In a nutshell, reflective thinking is a self-development skill that involves you thinking about your past actions and the impacts on others and yourself, to engage in a process of continuous learning that increment improves you and your skills in project management. Reflective thinking opens up leadership opportunities and sustains one’s prowess to be successful to be top industry leaders or simply high performers who can operate at levels the rest of society cannot do. Unit’s Learning Outcomes Project Management Reflective Thinking Competency Areas 1. Analyse and evaluate the role of the modern project manager in the context of IT projects This assignment helps you to understand what is reflective-thinking and how to engage the techniques of reflective thinking, to bring together PM theories and practice. Reflective thinking is a powerful self- directed continuous “learning for improvement” strategy that will continuously expand and deepen your PM knowledge and skills during and after every project you have been and will be involved in. You will need to recount the key concepts and methods of the PM knowledge areas you have learnt, have basic critical1 abilities and thinking with self-distancing awareness, in order to understand how theories and practice play out in every experience of executing tasks. Every reflection adds another layer of experience based PM knowledge and skills enhancement, collectively cultivating your PM wisdom. The quality of learning for improvement will depend on how well you have understood the PMBOKTM’s PM knowledge areas, SDLC methodologies and PM strategies, techniques and decision supporting tools, and case studies (all documented in your lecture resources) and put this knowledge into practice via your near live case study in your Assignment 2A. 2. Interpret and critique a variety of project management methodologies offered by various professional bodies including that provided by the latest version (Edition 6) of Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK). 3. Describe and apply the available strategies, techniques and decision tools used by project managers to manage modern IT projects based on PMBOK methodology. 1 Critical abilities are critical thinking; analytical literacy (analytical reading and comprehension, precise and analytical writing), and evidence-based research skills, which you were introduced to when doing Assignment 1 and to a lesser degree Assignment 2A. The ability to think reflectively prepares you to be a reflective practitioner of PM, always capable of improving your proficiency in PM every time you engage with projects. FIT5057 Reflective Report Page 2 What is Reflective Thinking? Top leaders and high performers master the craft of reflective thinking. A reflective person looks back on past actions and events, taking stock of emotions, experiences, actions, and responses; using that information to evaluate their professional and personal behavioral patterns and capabilities to identify opportunities for self-improvement. It removes the ego as it requires one to be brave and admit one’s weaknesses and also acknowledging one’s strengths, both suited for continuous improvement. Through reflective thinking, one can look back at what, how, who, when and why things happened. The thinking process involves: 1. Recalling and paying attention to the practical applications of theories and behaviors in past emotions, experiences, actions and events. 2. Applying different spectrums of critical thinking that analyses the past to identify one’s strengths and weaknesses. 3. Engaging in inferential thinking that enables you to identify and work on self-development actions. Reflective PM practitioners, including educationists and researchers, can always self-learn effectively from their own experiences and rely less on formal learning and training to be knowledgeable and skillful in their professions. Learning reflective thinking is guided by understanding and using a single or mix of reflective models (theories) that help frame how you can analyse your own thoughts of past experiences and identify self- directed improvement activity. Knowing such models or theories is not just an academic exercise but is transformed into pragmatic methods of reflective thinking. So, what are these reflective thinking models or methods? Page 3 REFLECTIVE THINKING MODELS Reflective thinking models help you in the systematic deconstruction of your experiences. Before you deconstruct your experiences, you need to define your reflective questions. These questions are framed by the basic what, who, when, where, why and how. For example, question such as (University of Hull, 2020): • What prior knowledge did I have? • How did I act during the event? • What did I learn from the event that I did not know before? • What links can I make between my experience and other events/ideas from my studies or workplace? • How can I use the knowledge I have gained from this event/experience in the future? • Are there other interpretations of the event? Do I need to consider them? • What are the implications of what happened? • If I distance myself from the event and observe my reactions to it, does it change my perspective? • Based on what I have learned, how should I act in future? • What other information do I need in order to understand the implications of the event? • What is the best way to go forward? • Looking back, would I have done things differently? If so, what and why? If not, why not? These questions are linked to what you want to know about your own capabilities as they are now and what areas of improvement you want to action. The questions are your personal checklist of knowing and acting, fuelled by your desire and will to learn or otherwise and not let ego create bias in your personal thinking. The challenge is how to draw out the answers to these questions from past experience, such as your FIT5057 unit learning, or a more granular area of it, such as your Assignment 2A experience. There are several commonly used reflective thinking frameworks (University of Hull, 2020): 1. Kolb’s Learning Cycle 2. Gibbs’ Reflective Cycle 3. Schon’s Framework 4. Rolfe et al’s Framework 5. ERA framework. Kolb’s Learning Cycle (Univers ity of Hul l , 2020) “Effective learning is seen when a person progresses through a cycle of four stages: of (1) having a concrete experience followed by (2) observation of and reflection on that experience which leads to (3) the formation of abstract concepts (analysis) and generalizations (conclusions) which are then (4) used to test hypothesis in future situations, resulting in new experiences” (McLeod (2013) in University of Hull, 2020). FIT5057 Reflective Report Page 4 Most of you would have started with Active Experimentation. If you had worked in projects, you would have some preliminary abstract conceptualization of Project Management work from your past experiences. If you have been doing all your workbook exercises, you would have established a more concrete experience in your Assignment 2A project work, giving a much deeper and richer memory recall for reflections. Gibbs’ Reflective Cycle (Univers i ty of Hul l , 2020) Gibbs provides a genre (writing structure pattern) for deconstructing your recount of past experience that describes: • A recount of what happened (the key events) • Your feelings/emotional response to events and other people you interacted with • Your evaluation of what was good or bad in your perceptions of your own and other responses arising during the events • Your analysis views that make sense in explaining what are the drivers that motivated you and others to behave the manners you earlier identified • And leading to a logical conclusion and identifying a self-improvement action plan as an appropriate next step. Despite its writing breakdown, this framework can result in fairly superficial reflection, because it does not involve much critical thinking when reflecting nor focus on connecting theory and practice implications. It has been recognised to exclude assumptions that you may have about your experience, nor consider the need to review your experience objectively in different perspectives and lead you to identify clearly how your reflections becomes a learning experience that can result in changing your thinking, practice attitudes and skills next them. Simply put, this model does not cultivate deep reflection. Schon’s Model (Univers ity of Hul l , 2020) This model motivates you to reflect during and after execution of a task. It requires you to be proactive and aware that you want to use a current situation as a reflective learning experience or a given, part of your reflective practice work style. If you have already been reflecting on your learning experiences during this unit and making a series of reflective journals, you could consider using Schon’s framework. This framework is potentially an advanced reflective thinking, reflective practitioner approach, because one is using reflection to enable learning and inform further action after the experience. The reflective thinking can identify existing theories to explain the experience and build new theories from analysing this interplay of existing theories. Page 5 Rolfe et al Model (Univers ity of Hul l , 2020) This is a simple, yet pragmatic model, often used by nurses in their profession. By responding to what, so what, now what questions you are able to outline an experience, relate the experience to wider knowledge and identify implications for your practice. It works well for reflecting on a specific event, not for generalisation of events you have experienced. Experience, Reflection Action (ERA) Model (Univers ity of Hul l , 2020) This model feeds learning through reflection and to be applied forward into future experiences. As it creates reflections from experience in a well-structured and yet simplistic manner, it is recommended for first time reflective thinking learners. Choosing Your Reflective Thinking Model Now that you understand the commonly used reflective thinking models, decide which one works best for you, or you can create your own version by selecting attributes of these models. Whichever model you choose or design, make sure it works for you in enabling you to: 1. learn from your experiences, including seeing how theories can explain your experiences. 2. identify realistic and doable self- improvement action plans to follow-up. More importantly, commit resolve to follow through your action plan. All that thinking without actions and results are then wasted. FIT5057 Reflective Report Page 6 Once you acknowledge your own strengths and weaknesses, then the next step is applying inferential thinking, ie deep and unconscious brain thinking, metaphorically like automatic algorithmic processing, as your brain cells fire up intensively and interconnected with each other like a live network of interconnecting mini-computers, processing your years of collected implicit knowledge, which influences the scope and quality of your formal and experience based learnings. Inferential Thinking Inferential thinking can be considered like a conclusion inferring technique. Typically, from your evidence based analysis findings, you ‘draw out’ the logical conclusion (Lumen, 2020). The underlying abstract thinking process in your headspace, is called metacognition. Metacognition is the ability of your brain to recognise bigger picture patterns from your brain’s information processing. In that brain processing, the accuracy of the information, which is your analysis findings, is important. When you do not understand how you came to your analysis findings and also do not understand the underlying contexts clearly, then your brain will just process value information and spit out a conclusion statement that is wishy washy. When assessed, you received feedback, saying your conclusion does not logically connect with your analysis findings or body discussions. Inferential thinking is your deep brain processing ability. Gauging where this cognitive ability is at (weak, moderate or strong) is important, because being aware of this capability is the first step for self-improvement planning. Some of us spend great effort and time studying hard and still find it hard to fully comprehend the meanings of information. When doing assignments, we are not sure: • what topics to choose or keyword to research. • which research information pieces to select, • how to use research findings in an analytical manner in our writing • when to stop covering a certain topic • if our answer sounds right. Conversely, we may be overly sure or confident of our abilities and get really surprised and sometimes annoyed when we receive poor assignment outcomes. These are signs that your metacognition ability needs addressing. When you let ego come into your thinking, it is easy to deny this cognitive issue and blame the learning challenges elsewhere. Researchers have found that inferential abilities are linked to reading comprehension (Soto, Gutiérrez de Blume, Jacovina, McNamara, Benson, Bernardo Riffo & Richard Kruk, 2019). When this literacy skill is lacking, your brain has not been adequately trained to contextualise (give meaning to) the text, visual, audio or feeling information you read or experience, never mind storing it in your knowledge memory. Reading and comprehension is an information pattern processing skill, not totally reliant on memorizing and recalling grammar, punctuation and spelling rules, but also knowing language construction techniques and how to research to recall such knowledge if unsure or forgotten. Page 7 Researchers recommend that one can improve their metacognition abilities, though “thinking about thinking”. This meta thinking approach is executed in two phases (Malamed, 2019): 1. Knowledge of cognition phase – the aim is knowing what you know (and do not know) when you are thinking. This brain processing phase has three work breakdown tasks: knowing the factors that influence one’s own performance; knowing different types of learning strategies to use; knowing what strategy or strategies work/s for specific situations. 2. Regulation of cognition phase – the aim is consciously and continuously planning and managing your thinking development. This brain processing phase involves setting goals and learning strategy planning; monitoring and controlling the execution of chosen learning strategies; and regularly evaluating the situational effectiveness of the chosen learning strategies. Here are some other useful tips from Malamed (2019), to help improve your metacognition ability in reading and comprehending the communicated meanings: • “Knowing the limits of your own memory for a particular task and creating a means of external support. • Self-monitoring your learning strategy, such as concept mapping, and then adapting the strategy if it is not effective. • Noticing whether you comprehend something you just read and then modifying your approach if you did not comprehend it. • Choosing to skim subheadings of unimportant information to get to the information you need. • Repeatedly rehearsing a skill in order to gain proficiency. • Periodically doing self-tests to see how well you learned something”. Monash University also has: 1. self-directed learning resources to help you improve your reading skills – which can be found in https://www.monash.edu/rlo/study-skills/reading-and-note-taking/effective-reading-strategies and 2. drop-in services in https://www.monash.edu/library/skills/resources/we-will-support-you/drop-in . You can also contact the FIT learning skills advisors to assist in the matter - Bei-En Zou and Mario Sos. FIT5057 Reflective Report Page 8 ASSIGNMENT BRIEF Now that you understand: • What reflective thinking is; • How it deconstructs your past experiences into lifelong learning for continuous improvement; • The different models of reflective thinking; and • The underpinnings of critical and inferential thinking skills in reflective thinking; You are about to embark on the journey of becoming a reflective project manager. Becoming a proficient project manager needs commitment to reflective practice. The assignment will require you, through executing 2 learning tasks, to reflect and document these thoughts. The reflective process, as a whole, will require you to: 1. Choose or design your reflective thinking approach 2. Apply reflective questioning, whose answers frame your reflections 3. Apply critical thinking to complete the 2 tasks 4. Apply inferential thinking to conclude an improvement outline, which you then detail into a mini project plan. Preliminary Work Firstly, identify your reflective thinking framework. You may choose one of the discussed models, or find another one through research, or mix these models to customize your own. Think about whether you want to use one common framework across tasks, or specific one for each task. Actioning Reflective Thinking & Writing Your Reflection Repor t You need to separate out executing reflective thinking and writing your reflection report. Both activity streams involve writing: 1. You reflect on each task’s experience and write your thoughts 2. You use the reflections to write your final Assignment 3, in a coherent and easy to read writing structure that demonstrates your overall reflections, including responses to given questions. Page 9 TASK 1 Reflective Q1 – Where am I in my critical thinking and writing capabilities? 1. Read the given news article, The New Art of i-War, in Appendix 1 2. Summarize the key concepts of the paper and indicate what is the overall message the author wants to communicate to its news readers. 3. Analyse the original paper, guided by your summarised highlights and: • How the key concepts correspond to the types of risks you have learnt? • How these risks interact to relate to the risks in your Assignment 2A project? • How would you mitigate these risks in your Assignment 2A project? 4. Reflect on your experience in executing (1) to (3) and answer the following reflective questions: • Discuss where you are in your critical thinking and writing capabilities, justifying your own evaluations; • Infer and identify a self-improvement plan that you can follow up during the semester break and after; • Question yourself whether you are likely to follow through or not and explain why. TASK 2 Reflective Q2 – How well did I learn PM, therefore truly understand the integration concepts of PM? 1. Research and explain what project integration mean. 2. Review what you have written in the Assignment 2A Project Plan and explain how project integration works, bringing all your planned knowledge areas, plus the ones excluded from your plan together in execution, as one seamless project management workflow model. You are not allowed to ask your tutors how to approach this question. However, you can review Assignment 1’s learning resources, marking feedback and improvement actions that you may have taken, to help you find the leads and tools to do this task by yourself. 3. Reflect on your experience in completing (1) and (2) and answer the following reflective questions: a. How confident are you about your answer and justifying your response? b. What challenges you encountered or areas you were confident of in completing the task? c. How many challenges you felt you have resolved yourself? d. How did you feel about your self-learning ability when completing (1) and (2)? 4. Identify at least another two reflective questions of your own you would answer, to help you understand your learning gaps in performing this task. 5. Share these learning gaps and identify what improvement actions you can consider taking. FIT5057 Reflective Report Page 10 Task 3 1. Use both the tasks’ reflective documentation to write your final report in 10-12 pages including Reference List and excluding cover sheet and table of contents. 2. Your report should include your responses to Task 1 and Task 2 and your reflective analysis of your learning; you should also include your learning improvement plan and learning gap analysis. 3. Proof-read, check there is Table of Contents, reference criteria have been met, cover sheet has your student ID and name , class day and time, tutor’s name before you submit. REPORT TEMPLATE 1. Introduction 2. Reflective Questions Structure 3. Reflective Thinking Model 4. Task 1 4.1. Art of iWar Analysis 4.2. Self-Reflections 5. Task 2 5.1. Project Integration Explanations 5.2. Self-Reflections 6. Self-Improvement Plan 7. Conclusion 8. Reference List (Note: You can deepen heading structures (and recommend that you apply TEEL paragraphing technique) to increase readability of your writing) RUBRIC Introduction (5%) State (a) the specific learning purpose of the assignment and (b) a scope-outline of its discussions Reflective Questions Structure (5%) State each of the 2 given meta-question and all its sub-questions that guide your reflective thinking Reflective Thinking Model (10%) ~ Describe the theoretical concepts of reflective thinking model/s you have chosen to use. ~ Visualize how you apply the reflective thinking model and provide a summarized a comprehensible written explanation to the diagram. Page 11 Critical Analysis & Reflective Thinking Outcomes Task 1 (20%) Communicating Critical Analysis Findings Instruction 2a Summary of article's key concepts Instruction 2b Identification of Author's Key Message to Readers Instruction 3a Mapping of article's risks to the appropriate PESTLE categories Instruction 3b Explaining how these mapped PESTLE risks interact and create risks in your project Instruction 3c Ideating risk responses to the identified risks Instruction 4 Communicating Self Reflections OBJECTIVE: State Task 1’s learning objective REFLECTION DISCUSSIONS: Share your reflective thoughts in well organised structure. You may use more heading structures and make sure your paragraphs are constructed and linked appropriate to separate distinct discussions of your thoughts and answers to your reflective questions ~ Include a table of your reflective Qs and answers ~ Clarity / readability of writing flow (heading & paragraph linkages) and sentence constructs in communicating your reflective questions, answers and learning gap analysis findings IMPROVEMENT ACTIONS LIST: List the appropriate actions you can take for future improvements (you can number the actions) EXECUTION LIKELYHOOD: Rate how committed are you to follow through your own improvement actions and give a brief justification. Task 2 (20%) Critical Analysis Findings Instruction 1 Explanation the definition concepts of Project Integration Instruction 2 Explain how project integration works, bringing all your planned knowledge areas, plus the ones excluded from your plan together in execution, as one seamless project management workflow model ~ Provides a comprehensible visual diagram to explain an abstract concept ~ Provides comprehensible text descriptions that elaborate the visual diagram and simplify communications of an abstract idea to readers Instructions 3-5 Self-Reflections OBJECTIVE: State Task 2’s learning objective FIT5057 Reflective Report Page 12 REFLECTION DISCUSSIONS: Share your reflective thoughts in well organised structure. You may use more heading structures and make sure your paragraphs are constructed and linked appropriate to separate distinct discussions of your thoughts and answers to your reflective questions. ~ Include a table of your reflective Qs and answers ~ Clarity / readability of writing flow (heading & paragraph linkages) and sentence constructs in communicating your reflective questions, answers and learning gap analysis findings IMPROVEMENT ACTIONS LIST: List the appropriate actions you can take for future improvements (you can number the actions) EXECUTION LIKELYHOOD: Rate how committed are you to follow through your own improvement actions and give a brief justification. Self-Improvement Plan (20%) Consolidate the 2 tasks’ improvement actions into a cohesive mini project plan, stating: 1. Project’s Outcome, ie The personal results you want to achieve from this plan 2. Project’s WBS & INDICATIVE Schedule, ie describe the work breakdown structure of actions to be executed and a schedule of milestones and timelines to manage your own self-improvement progress. 3. Project’s deadline – the end date for completing your self- improvements 4. Project’s overall implementation risk – the chance of this project being acted upon effectively in the near future, what causal factors justify your risk prediction, what would you expect or do if implementation fails. Conclusion (10%) Summary highlights of earlier reflective discussions The closing concluding statement linked to the learning purpose you indicated in the Introduction. Next Step Recommendation. Reference (5%) At least 6 references, 50% peer reviewed Cited & formatted appropriately Overall Writing Structure, Syntax & Semantics Quality (5%) Page 13 Appendix 1 – Task 1 Case Study The New Art of i-War (Modified extract from an article by Paul Monk, in The Australian, January 31, 2020) As we enter the 2020s, one of the more pressing concerns we face is the weaponisation of social media and the use of the internet for purposes of surveillance, both commercial and political; as well as the development of cyber warfare and the demonstrated means for manipulating human judgment and behaviour on a large scale. This is worth thinking about from the very beginning of the new decade, because what we have seen in the past decade is disturbing. It’s time to get a much better grip on what is happening and why. In late October last year, an Information Warfare conference was held in Canberra. The first day of it was conducted under the Chatham House rule, the second was classified. Remarks, therefore, cannot be attributed to speakers. Three things, however, stood out from the proceedings. The technological revolution in information sciences has become: The single most challenging arena of military strategy and national security. • A game changer in regard to politics, public policy debate and social cohesion, with profound implications for our ideas of what constitute democratic government, political legitimacy, and civil rights. • A matter of grave importance for each of us in regard to personal privacy and the integrity of our intellectual independence. The thinking that governed the proceedings did not go deep enough into the roots of these problems. But it was refreshing to find them being seriously pondered by our country’s national security agencies and to have been invited to participate. FIT5057 Reflective Report Page 14 Singer and Brooking, in their book – Like War: The Weaponization of Social Media, alleged that the technological innovations we are now worried about were conceived by their inventors as wholly benign. DREAM GONE WRONG Twitter co-founder Evan Williams said “I thought once everybody could speak freely and exchange information and ideas, the world was automatically going to be a better place. I was wrong about that.” But why was he wrong? Because Silicon Valley companies monetised their online platforms by making them addictive, secretly collected data and sold it to interested parties? Because dictatorships and terrorists and criminal cartels used the net and social media to disseminate propaganda and “fake news”? No. Those are just symptoms of a far deeper problem. Singer and others at the conference fell back on stock lines from Sun Tzu and Clausewitz. on knowledge, politics and war. But if we want to understand why the information technologies have had the disturbing effects they have, why masses of human beings are susceptible to being misled and manipulated, why companies and governments prey on the unsuspecting, we have to go back long, long before Sun Tzu or Clausewitz. Fundamentally, although these technologies are made possible by the use of advanced physics and mathematics, their use and the way it spirals out of rational control can only be understood in terms of biology, game theory and human cognitive evolution. PRIMAL INSTINCTS Technologies, whatever their inventors may fondly imagine, arrive in a world in which human beings behave in a complex and unstable mixture of competition and co-operation with very deep roots in evolutionary biology. These animal behaviours date back even further than the Cambrian explosion, a half-billion years ago. That seminal epoch in biological evolution saw the emergence of carnivorous predators for perhaps the first time and an arms race in eyes, jaws, armour, camouflage and speed among predators and prey alike. Through an immensely long lineage, we are sprung from that evolutionary pedigree. However much we may deceive ourselves about being “sapient” or being the “children of God”, we behave, at the most fundamental level, according to deeply ingrained and primal instincts of wariness, tacit co-operation, opportunistic defection and predation. This can be seen at every level of barbarism and civilisation, in war and in commerce. Until the nature of evolutionary biology was slowly discovered, between Charles Darwin and Alfred Russel Wallace’s pioneering work in the mid-19th century and the astonishing discoveries of the past few decades, no one could do much better than coming up with religious myths or political philosophies to try to explain human behaviour. Nor was animal behaviour in general much better understood. Until the invention of game theory at the RAND Corporation, in the 1950s, in an attempt to pin down the logic of arms races and disarmament negotiations, we floundered in trying to make sense of the what determines the behaviour of states and the prospects for deterrence and coexistence. And until Herbert Simon and others talked up the idea of “bounded rationality”, we were generically prone to wrongly assume that every rational being saw the world and thought about its interests in the same general way. The invention of nuclear weapons and the apparent existential threat they presented to human survival goaded a few thoughtful people to think harder about these fundamental matters. It was remarked of such weapons that they had outstripped our social intuitions and capacities for rational thought. Fortunately, that Page 15 has not been wholly so. We have muddled through 70 years of nuclear arsenals and scaled back the biggest and worst of them. We are going to have to do the same with information technologies. But one thing should by now be clear: basic human proclivities and irrational behaviours spring from very ancient behavioural instincts and these will not change. Education, law, explicit agreements can put rules and boundaries around certain egregious behaviours, but the underlying proclivities remain embedded and will resurface given provocation, uncertainty or opportunity. Therefore, we must understand them and create social institutions and regulatory frameworks — constitutions, broadly speaking — as well as international agreements that factor this into their design. And even then, we’ll have to keep muddling through. There won’t be a perfect or utopian outcome — ever. PREDATORS ON STEROIDS The cognitive terrain we are in, by default, whenever we venture into social media, or for that matter into unbridled exchanges in the public sphere, is one of flawed, evolved, barely conscious brains reacting to stimuli, floundering around among complex data they barely comprehend, becoming emotional and tribal. This leaves us open to being deliberately misled, with strategic intent, by other parties, who seek to harvest the fruits of irrational and emotional behaviours. That’s the way it is. That’s the nature of life — primordially, with or without the internet. It was ever thus. What these tools have done is put all these cognitive flaws and competitive or predatory strategies on steroids. “When will they ever learn?” is the refrain of pacifists, in the face of recurrent violent human conflict. There is no permanent learning in this regard. There are institutional mechanisms for coping with our nature, but there is the ever-present danger of regression. How, then, does this apply to our current dilemmas? What does it have to tell us about the three key problems outlined and agreed upon at the Information Warfare conference last October? Fundamentally, it means that if we seek international peace and order, we have to build it not on naive assumptions about human rationality and the common good, but on realistic assumptions about competition, negotiation, predation and the conditions under which productive co-operation will emerge or degenerate. We have to be prepared to create institutional mechanisms for deterring or thwarting defection from productive norms or predation. SURRENDERING PRIVACY We need to think hard about our interests and those of other parties. We have to have an eye for our individual and collective vulnerabilities. We have to become astute and committed to practical, not utopian norms. In other words, we have to do the kind of hard thinking that the pioneers of the internet, alas, did not do. And we have to work for norms that the entrepreneurs of social media and the exploiters of it did not create and do not sufficiently practice. This thinking and this work will not occur simply by default. It will not be something most people will even be capable of doing well for themselves. It will not become law, much less accepted and enacted international agreement, without a very great deal of patient and strenuous work. We have our work cut out for us and the first order of business is resilience in the face of escalating dangers. Part of the unspoken agenda of the Information Warfare conference was to bring together more or less actively concerned people to ponder what is to be done in this space. We must, therefore, look to our defences. FIT5057 Reflective Report Page 16 The concern in this regard goes beyond hacking to political interference and even strategic assault. It pertains, as we have seen in the case of the 2016 elections, to deep intrusion into and manipulation of voting behaviours in the democracies by malign and undeclared external parties, or by machineries acting clandestinely for political movements. Singer and Brooking emphasise the extraordinary interference by Putin’s Russia in the 2016 presidential election in the US. But as Brittany Kaiser points out in her recent memoir Targeted, Cambridge Analytica, a UK-based firm with deep reach into the US and operations around the world, was doing the very same things as the Russians. A Democrat by conviction, Kaiser became more and more disturbed by the nature and scale of the work Cambridge Analytica and its boss Alexander Nix did with the most reactionary and populist elements on the Republican right. She didn’t even notice what the Russians were up to in America until the election was well and truly over. And what Cambridge Analytica did was inextricably linked with Facebook and its use of private information. The matter of private information brings us right down to the individual level, of course. Back in 2007, German sociologist and analyst of terror and dictatorship, Wolfgang Sofsky, gave us a little book called Privacy: A Manifesto. At that point, social media as we now know it was just getting started. Facebook was only three years old. Cambridge Analytica would not come into existence for another six years. Blockchain would be pioneered by “Satoshi Nakamoto” in 2008. Sofsky argued not simply that surveillance and data collection were growing but that far too many of us had already been complacently surrendering our privacy or were complicit in its evaporation through an eagerness to divulge things about ourselves in a thoughtlessly exhibitionist manner. And, of course, at the private and personal level, fakery, bullying, fraud and all manner of really dark activities raise the question as to what level of “privacy” individuals are entitled to. The recent arrest of octogenarian business tycoon Ron Brierley with staggering quantities of child sexual abuse pornography in his possession points to this problem. The formation and proliferation of criminal and terrorist, sociopathic or factually degenerate internet groups (think flat earthers and anti-vaxxers) illustrates the dilemmas that confront us as regards reason, law and the web. To these problems there is no guaranteed solution. The scale and rapid proliferation of them are such as to require the invention of new standards, while providing that those standards do not themselves undermine our liberties or our social order. APPROACHING WATERLOO Pondering all this, in its late December 2019 double issue, The Economist ran a sage piece under the title “Pessimism vs Progress”. Its net assessment, as it were, was characteristically sane and level-headed: To be alive in the tech-obsessed 2020s is to be among the luckiest people who have ever lived. Your intuitive response to that viewpoint from elite London will be a litmus test of how you see the challenges ahead of us over the next decade — in geopolitics, democratic politics and private behaviour or safety. Page 17 Whatever the extent of your unease and even alarm, it might help, as a thought experiment, to think of yourself as a participant in the late October conference in Canberra, asking questions and listening attentively to speeches. Or perhaps to imagine yourself a staff member at the Centre for International Governance Innovation, in Waterloo, Canada, intermediate between Niagara Falls and Detroit. Are we approaching our Waterloo2? Are we all about to go over the waterfall, at least as regards decency and liberty? Are we headed for a world of decay like Detroit? Or are we about to rise to the challenges we face and reinvent international governance on resilient and evolutionarily insightful lines? Something to ponder emerging from silly season. 2 Means approach a pitched battle - a fierce battle fought in close combat between troops in predetermined positions at a chosen time and place (Vocabulary.com, 2020)